FREE SYRIAN ARMY GAINING
STRENGTH

Defectors Fight Syrian Troops in South as General Strike Begins

 

Army defectors in southern Syria battled loyalist forces backed by tanks in a major armed confrontation Sunday near the Jordanian border, as up to 18 people were killed in nationwide violence.

Residents and activists said government troops from Syria 's 12th Armored Brigade stormed the southern town of Busra al-Harir overnight. The British-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said three military vehicles were burned in the clashes. The group said similar battles took place Sunday in several other parts of the south.

Reuters quoted local residents as saying defectors had been hiding in the area and attacking military supply lines, provoking the government assault. The Observatory said separate clashes between government troops and deserters in the northwestern town of Kfar Takharim saw two civilians killed and two troop transport vehicles set ablaze.

The activist group said eight people were killed across Syria Sunday, while the opposition Local Coordination Committee put the death toll at 18. It was impossible to independently verify either count.

 

ASSAD FORCES BOMB OIL PIPELINE

 

Meanwhile, several regions across Syria observed the opposition's call for a general strike Sunday, the first working day of the week.

Rights groups said security forces attempted to open shops by force and carried out arrests in several towns, although most business continued as usual in the capital, Damascus, and in the commercial hub of Aleppo. In the southern city of Daraa, army troops and militiamen loyal to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad broke up the strike.

Activists called the nationwide action in an attempt to bring down the regime through civil disobedience. The opposition Local Coordination Committee has urged citizens to gradually escalate the protests by holding sit-ins, closing facilities and refusing to work in the public sector.

Also Sunday, fallout from the anti-government protests spilled over into neighboring Jordan, where a crowd of angry Syrian citizens attacked their country's embassy. The Syrian mission in Amman has been the scene of several protests since the anti-government uprising broke out in Syria nine months ago.

 

CIVILIANS BUTCHERED - 18+ GRAPHIC PICTURES

HOMS:

 

Inside Syria, in the flashpoint city of Homs, an opposition leader said the government has warned protesters to hand in weapons and surrender defecting military members by Monday night or face bombardment. CNN quoted Lt. Colonel Mohamed Hamdo of the Free Syrian Army as saying the 72-hour warning was given on Saturday.

Despite the deadly unrest, Syrians are scheduled to vote for local councils in municipal elections across the country's 14 provinces Monday. The poll is the first test of reforms promised by Mr. Assad's government, which has called for a large voter turnout.

President Assad has been facing mounting international pressure to end a crackdown on dissent that the United Nations says has claimed more than 4,000 lives.

HEAVY FIGHTING KHALIDIYA DISTRICT

CITY OF HOMS

 

 

FURTHER
SYRIAN ARMY DEFECTIONS

 

 


 

 

 

 


The Free Syrian Army

 

Asad's Armed Opposition:

By Jeffrey White

THE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE

 

The growing armed opposition movement against the Asad regime is becoming an increasingly important element in the Syrian equation.

The Free Syrian Army (FSA), the armed opposition group that has emerged to confront the Asad regime, appears to be gaining in strength and effectiveness, and Damascus now faces both peaceful and armed resistance. So far, the FSA has proven resilient in the face of regime measures to suppress it.
Origins in Defection
The FSA was formally announced on July 29, but it can trace its origins to well before that. The group's formation was a reaction to regime brutality against peaceful mass protests. Desertion from the Syrian army increased as individual soldiers and small units refused to obey orders to shoot unarmed demonstrators or simply decided to abandon the regime. Although not all of these soldiers have joined the FSA, numerous media reports indicate a steady flow of defectors into the group's ranks.

Defectors include individuals of all ranks, from conscript to brigadier general, and from a wide variety of combat units and organizations, including key regime props such as the Republican Guard and the intelligence services. Some small units have defected as a group, and several battalion-size defections have been reported but not confirmed. In at least some cases, the defectors took their weapons with them. And in most cases, they appeared to join local FSA elements.

Easing the process of defection and FSA unit creation is the fact that the personnel in question are moving from a military organization to a fairly well organized quasi-military force. Based on available evidence, the FSA has a chain of command, organizational and rank structures, and named units.
 
 
Organization and Forces
The FSA appears to be a relatively flat organization, with a command and headquarters in Turkey, possibly a set of regional or area commands with subordinate groups in Syria, and, according to media reports, one or two combat elements in Lebanon.

Command and control appears to be relatively loose, with the Turkish headquarters providing general direction and the units in Syria exercising largely independent control over their operations. Earlier this month elements of two units in the Damascus area -- the Abu Ubaydah al-Jarah Battalion and the Muawiyah bin Abi Sufyan Battalion -- reportedly cooperated in an action against regime forces, suggesting at least some degree of coordination. Command and control is exercised through a variety of means, including cell phones, E-mail, Facebook, and, presumably, couriers. The regime has reportedly captured a number of sophisticated communications devices from "armed terrorists," including Thuraya satellite mobile phones, very high and ultra-high frequency (VHF/UHF) devices, and Inmarsat mobile communication satellite systems.

The FSA's order of battle (command structure, units, deployment, strength, and equipment) is becoming somewhat clearer over time. The group claims to have as many as twenty-two "battalions" operating against the regime; media reports indicate sixteen such battalions are active, with four additional battalions probably active. Yet the number of fighters associated with each battalion -- assuming the term is even used in a consistent way -- is uncertain. FSA battalions are reportedly led by junior officers, in most cases lieutenants and captains, suggesting formations with 100 to 200 or even fewer personnel. The battalions appear to be independent formations, although higher-level formations may exist. In the Homs area, for example, the Khaled ibn al-Walid Brigade appears to comprise several subordinate battalions.

FSA membership appears to consist largely of experienced military personnel -- a cadre of officers and noncommissioned officers with, in some cases, social connections to local families and clans, towns and neighborhoods. In other words, they know how to use weapons and are fighting on terrain they know.

The total number of FSA personnel is uncertain. The group's leadership has claimed ten to fifteen thousand, but this seems too high. A more likely range is in the low thousands, consistent with the number and likely size of the battalions.

FSA weapons seem to be mostly small arms (rifles, light machine guns), rocket-propelled grenades (RPGs), some heavy machine guns, and various explosive devices. RPGs are being used effectively against the regime's armored vehicles, especially the relatively lightly armored BMP infantry fighting vehicle variants that have been heavily employed by the government. These types of weapons are generally well suited to the primarily urban fighting waged so far in Syria. Weapons sources include the defectors, reported smuggling (especially from Lebanon, but also Turkey ), and capture of materiel during engagements with regime forces.
 
 

Deployment and Operations

The FSA is operating throughout Syria, both in urban areas and in the countryside. Forces are active in the northwest (Idlib, Aleppo ), the central region ( Homs, Hama, and Rastan), the coast around Latakia, the south (Deraa and Houran), the east (Dayr al-Zawr, Abu Kamal), and the Damascus area. The largest concentration of these forces appears to be in the central region ( Homs, Hama, and surrounding areas), with nine or more battalions reportedly active there.

Most FSA operations seem to be small-unit actions involving anywhere from a few to a few tens of personnel. The fighting in Rastan and Homs in September and October appears to have included somewhat larger actions. Operations have included defense of local areas, ambushes of convoys and vehicles, attacks on regime positions and facilities, attacks on regime security forces and militia elements, attacks on regime officials and military officers, intervention against regime forces attacking demonstrators, and road closings.

The FSA has also fought at least three serious "battles": for Rastan/Talbisah (September 27-October 1), for Homs (October 28-November 8), and for Kherbet Ghazalah (November 14). These actions featured sustained engagements with regime forces, and although the FSA broke off the fighting in each case, it was able to inflict losses and generate more defections. The regime was also forced to deploy large combat formations (division or brigade equivalents) in serious combat operations. The FSA's actions are compelling the regime to deploy forces throughout the country and fight, not just continue to shoot unarmed civilians.
 
 

Outlook

The Asad regime cannot survive without killing, and the FSA has changed the game from one in which the regime was free to kill its citizens at will and without cost, to one in which it faces an armed opposition and is suffering losses. Increased demands on government forces and further civilian deaths will produce more defections, and these processes will in turn escalate the fighting.

Because the FSA is an increasingly important player that will likely influence the outcome of events in Syria, the United States and its partners should make contact with its members and learn as much as possible about the group. Questions concerning its nature, its potential as an armed force, and the role of Islamists can be resolved through such contact as well as intelligence work. If the results are positive, then the FSA should be assisted wherever outside aid would be both possible and effective. Arms, advice, training, and money could be provided through clandestine channels, if nothing else. These modest steps could help provide the Syrian people with a means of self-defense, give the United States additional influence on the situation, and put further pressure on the regime and its forces, perhaps hastening the conflict's end.

Jeffrey White is a defense fellow at The Washington Institute, specializing in military and security affairs.
 

FURTHER DEFECTIONS

 

 


 

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